If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? /Which party are you most inclined to support? 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. View our Privacy PolicyandTerms & Conditions, TheLondonEconomic.com Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle. Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. on public opinion. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. That's according to a new YouGov poll commissioned by WalesOnline to mark St David's Day 2023. . What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. Prince Harry's U.K. Popularity Down 35 Points Since Meghan WeddingPolling Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union conservative party Labour Party It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. Scottish independence poll: do people in Scotland want to be President has no right to express opinion on legality of LG polls: AKD Sri Lanka Daily Mirror 02:32 25-Feb-23. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Britain Elects. Entering the summer, levels of Conservative support took a sudden 3% hit following the resignation of then health secretary, Matt Hancock, in June 2021. It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. UK PM hopeful Sunak would have edge over Truss with swing voters - poll Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). King Charles III retains popular support in Wales, new poll shows, but YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. @britainelects. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Automotive. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. Big names to go would include Joanna Cherry and Mhairi Black. Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). Labour surges to record lead in polls as Truss insists mini-budget did Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Scotland SNP Referendum Poll Latest News: February 5, 2023 - Bloomberg The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. Charities & not-for-profit. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or We don't have an account for this email address. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. Notable recent election polls Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Opinion polling on Scottish independence - Wikipedia Boris Johnson Goads Rishi Sunak Over Poor Tory Poll Ratings In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Scottish independence: SNP and indy support drops in new poll as Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. A YouGov poll in March of last year found that 55% backed keeping the monarchy . New YouGov projections suggest Tories could become UK's FOURTH party This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed.